Indianapolis 500 Qualifying Preview
And just like that, it’s already Fast Friday. It’s always amazing how quickly this week passes. I will admit to watching some of practice from work on Tuesday and Wednesday. Then we were able to get here shortly after the start of practice yesterday. It seems like practice just started and qualifying is tomorrow.
We arrived yesterday around 1:00 pm EDT and enjoyed almost a full day of practice. We had a nice visit with longtime reader and commentator “Big Mac”. He came up to the Tower Terrace stands where we were taking in practice with our good friend Paul Dalbey. Susan went back into the Media Center to take advantage of their air-conditioning, while we headed for the garage area.
Today is the day they jack up the boost. Back before the naturally aspirated engines became the rule of law in 1997, the normal engines that ran in CART for the rest of the year were allowed 40-inches of boost, before they lowered it at some time to 35-inches. Nowadays, when they quote the boost, it is in millibars. Normal boost is 1300 mbar, but for Fast Friday and Qualifying they pump it up to 1500. I had always wondered how that compared to the inches in mercury they quoted in the 90s. I saw a conversion table on social media the other night that showed the equivalency, but I didn’t save it. As it turns out, what they will be running this weekend is the equivalent to 44.3-inches of boost. Finally…something I can understand.
Altogether this weekend’s boost gives the cars about 45-50 horsepower. If they use the hybrid unit to the maximum, the combination between the two could be significant.
When they turned up the boost the second morning of the Open Test back in April, two cars crashed within the first hour or so. Kyle Larson crashed in Turn One, but it was later revealed he had forgotten to readjust the weight-jacker in his car before heading into the turn. Not long after Larson’s cleanup, Takuma Sato turned the second fastest lap of the day. Shortly after that, Sato stuffed it into the wall in close to the same spot Larson had crashed. It was a massive hit that destroyed the tub. Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing had to purchase a whole new tub and prepare a new car for this week.
I have no idea who will be on the pole, but it will be the usual suspects that will make up the Firestone Fast Twelve. I don’t expect more than one or two non-Big Four (Penske, Ganassi, Andretti, McLaren) team drivers to break into the Fast Twelve.
I’ll admit, I’ve been paying more attention to the lower end of the speed charts. I’m surprised that for the third straight year, we are seeing Graham Rahal at or near the bottom. The bigger surprise is Santino Ferrucci. His top speed has decreased each day. Based on what we’ve seen for the past three days, it looks like the final spot on Sunday’s Bump Day will be decided between Rahal and Ferrucci. Of course a lot can happen over the next three days before we get to that. Both drivers may find something today. A driver that may have had some success throughout the week could wad up a car this afternoon, and put his team behind the proverbial eight-ball. Or it could be that things fall into place as everyone predicted before the week started – the inexperience of team and driver will probably work against Robert Shwartzman to make him the odd man out when the gun goes off on Sunday.
I’m still not a fan of this current format, but I don’t think it is going anywhere anytime soon. I am old-school and still prefer Pole Day on Saturday and Bump Day on Sunday. I am also not a fan of Sunday’s schedule this year. Except for practice, nothing of note begins until 4:05 pm EDT. That’s when the Top Twelve is whittled down to the Firestone Fast Six. Then the Last Chance (Bump) Qualifying takes place at 5:15 pm EDT, when they determine who will be going home. Then at 6:25 pm EDT, the Firestone Fast Six will determine the front two rows, as well as the pole sitter – with everything wrapping up at 6:55 pm EDT.
That may be great for TV viewers, but it is not great for those of us on-site that will need to write and then drive home. For us, that will put us back home in Nashville well after midnight. I won’t generate a lot of sympathy, since it is such a privilege to be here – especially with media credentials. But I will be awfully sleepy on Monday morning.
We will continue to post throughout the qualifying weekend, so please check back today and through the weekend.
Who is my choice for the pole? It’s easy – go with the driver with the hot hand (foot). Alex Palou will be your pole-sitter for the 109th Running of the Indianapolis 500. We’ll see.
George Phillips
May 16, 2025 at 5:13 am
Very pleased Susan can access the media centre which also means you received your full credentials.
Santino surely needs to change his mind now he no longer has Mike Cannon and put the Penske set up onto the 14.
May 16, 2025 at 8:49 am
Easy fix. Move to Indianapolis. Nashville is too popular and overcrowded now anyway. You could buy a Colts 100% cotton polo, learn to love basketball and visit the track and the museum on winter days when they’re empty. And I bet Indy has a cake shop that’s in need of a cake top creator.
May 16, 2025 at 9:26 am
Rahal has been a bit better in the no-tow speed charts, but does not seem to have confidence in maintaining his best speed for four laps. Ferrucci seems to believe his cars hate him this year. Prema remains so unproven, but after their late start they have not been embarrassing themselves.
Most folks seem to believe there will be multiple wrecks today that could all but relegate the wreckers to the LCQ. Any wreck tomorrow would certainly do that. Honda will have swapped all of their engines prior to today, that might make a difference and could possibly be Rahal’s saving grace if the swaps do put the H decidedly ahead of Chevrolet in qualifying.
Palou and McLaughlin seem the best bets for the pole, but I think we could see a slight surprise from one of the Andretti cars up there. I’ll take Kirkwood.
May 16, 2025 at 10:28 am
Those Juncos and Dreyer & Reinbold cars have caught my attention this week. Perhaps a Hunter-Reay or Daly qualifies up there with the big boys?
As far as the pole? As much as I’ve rooted for underdogs my whole life, how can I not agree with George’s prediction of Alex Palou? The guy is crushing it this season.